Peak hurricane season arrives with little fanfare

In the clash between summer and fall that is September, many places are feeling more like the latter for now. A relative lull in big weather persists for much of the globe.

Weather watch

Kiki approaching Hawaii (sort of). Hurricane Kiko was about 500 miles from Hilo, Hawaii, early Monday and forecast to pass well north of the chain. It will probably enhance rainfall over the archipelago, with up to 2 or 3 inches forecast on portions of the islands facing the storm. There will also be a risk of life-threatening surf and rip currents, particularly on east-facing beaches.

Fall vibes. It’s another chilly start across the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and into the Northeast. Temperatures were at or below freezing Monday morning in parts of the Upper Midwest and northern lakes region among other spots. Another lengthy stretch of dry weather is settling following a cold front passage late last week.

Lightning links

Smoke, wildfire and lightning concerns remain high across the Northwest. (Brandon Buckingham, AccuWeather)

Tornado rips across central Massachusetts as severe thunderstorms cause damage across Northeast. (Steven Yablonski, Andrew Wulfeck, Fox Weather)

Monday morning weather maps

Peak season is here in the Atlantic Ocean. Just don’t tell the Atlantic Ocean. It looked like there might be a storm spin up from a wave approaching the Antilles last we checked on Friday, but odds of that fell significantly over the weekend.

No meaningful development is expected over coming days.

As you can see below, we’re quite close to the raw daily peak of the hurricane season, using the last 100 years of storms.

Although large portions of the Atlantic basin are expected to see below average rainfall over the next week, there are also sizable zones with notable odds of tropical cyclone formation.

It may a nap for peak season rather than a deep sleep.

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Weekday morning newsletter by a journalist/forecaster. Connecting weather and climate change dots while occasionally stirring the pot.

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