New tropical threat emerging in Atlantic

We're going to be talking a lot more about Jerry.

Author

Ian Livingston
October 06, 2025

Jerry-centric social media channels (this is a joke most people might not get) are about to go into hyperdrive as another rather long-tracking tropical cyclone appears to be in the offing. Sure, it might be October but in many places the weather is acting more like summer.

Weather Watch

Here we go again. Probable future-Jerry is getting itself together in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. While it’s becoming late in the season for storm development in the region, waters are warm, and the atmospheric setup is favorable. Right now, the track is reminiscent of priors this year that largely missed land — other than Bermuda — but this one has a somewhat better shot at hitting the Antilles, and it could be another major hurricane by then according to weather modeling.

(National Hurricane Center)

Nepal flooding and Mt. Everest storm. Weather mayhem continues to strike portions of South Asia, the latest episode including a blizzard at Mt. Everest trapping up to a thousand or more hikers at one point. As much as 3-plus feet of snow impacted a camp around 16,000 feet (the peak is around 29,000 feet), leading to at least one hypothermia death and collapsed tents. It comes on the immediate heels of 44 deaths from flooding rains in Nepal and concurrent with deadly landslides in India.

The heat is on

Records were plentiful over recent days in the Midwest and Northeast U.S., in addition to Canada. Minneapolis hit 91 on Saturday, among the numerous numbers that shouldn’t be occurring in October.

Rankings for Saturday highs. 1s are the hottest for the date, 2s are second hottest and etc. (Southeast Regional Climate Center)

More is expected today, especially in New York and New England. Boston will be near record values if the forecast of 85 comes to pass.

Long-period stations at risk of setting record highs Monday. (NOAA)

And the longer range also suggests heat will be more prevalent than not for the next two weeks in the central and eastern U.S. Cooler than normal is more likely in the west.

(NOAA)

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Weekday morning newsletter by a journalist/forecaster. Connecting weather and climate change dots while occasionally stirring the pot.

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